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Independ. Rivadavia vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL LibertadoresThu, 30 Apr 2026

Independ. Rivadavia

WDWWW

Thu, 30 Apr 202623:00

4 : 1

Live

Deportivo La Guaira

WDDWD

Pre-match win probability

68%Independ. Rivadavia20.1%Draw11.9%Deportivo La Guaira

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Independ. Rivadavia

Independ. Rivadavia vs Deportivo La Guaira listed tip from the board.

Odds1.1
Confidence68%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independ. Rivadavia 68%
  • Draw 20.1%
  • Deportivo La Guaira 11.9%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Libertadores · highlighted side is stronger

Independ. RivadaviaDeportivo La Guaira

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X71.4%
X228.6%

Match result

Independ. Rivadavia1.4
Draw4.75
Deportivo La Guaira8

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance71.4%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance28.6%
Odds2.75

Independ. Rivadavia

Chance68%
Odds1.4

Draw

Chance20.1%
Odds4.75

Deportivo La Guaira

Chance11.9%
Odds8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.1

Independ. RivadaviaDeportivo La Guaira
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall85%15%

Independ. Rivadavia vs Deportivo La Guaira: prediction & preview

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · Thu, 30 Apr 2026

Independ. Rivadavia meet Deportivo La Guaira in the World, CONMEBOL Libertadores on 30 April 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independ. Rivadavia at 1.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 68% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Independ. Rivadavia vs Deportivo La Guaira FAQs

4 questions

What time is Independ. Rivadavia vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 30 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Independ. Rivadavia vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Independ. Rivadavia is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 68%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Independ. Rivadavia vs Deportivo La Guaira prediction, H2H and stats