Independiente del Valle vs Aucas Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ecuador · Liga ProSat, 14 Mar 2026

Independiente del Valle

WWLW

Sat, 14 Mar 202620:00

2 : 2

Full time

Aucas

LDDLW

Pre-match win probability

59.6%Independiente del Valle25%Draw15.4%Aucas

Our prediction

Home · Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle vs Aucas listed tip from the board.

Odds1.55
Confidence59.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independiente del Valle 59.6%
  • Draw 25%
  • Aucas 15.4%

Season statistics

Liga Pro · highlighted side is stronger

Independiente del ValleAucas

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.912.5% · 1.9
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X68%
X232%

Match result

Independiente del Valle1.55
Draw3.7
Aucas6

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance68%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance32%
Odds2.38

Independiente del Valle

Chance59.6%
Odds1.55

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.7

Aucas

Chance15.4%
Odds6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.55

Independiente del ValleAucas
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall79%21%

Independiente del Valle vs Aucas: prediction & preview

Ecuador · Liga Pro · Sat, 14 Mar 2026

Independiente del Valle meet Aucas in the Ecuador, Liga Pro on 14 March 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente del Valle at 1.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Independiente del Valle vs Aucas FAQs

4 questions

What time is Independiente del Valle vs Aucas?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 14 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Independiente del Valle vs Aucas?

Independiente del Valle is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Independiente del Valle vs Aucas prediction, H2H and stats