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Independiente del Valle vs Emelec Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ecuador · Liga ProMon, 20 Jul 2026

Independiente del Valle

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Mon, 20 Jul 202601:15

6 : 1

Full time

Emelec

LLLWL

Pre-match win probability

65.6%Independiente del Valle22.7%Draw11.6%Emelec

Our prediction

Home · Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle vs Emelec listed tip from the board.

Odds1.42
Confidence65.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independiente del Valle 65.6%
  • Draw 22.7%
  • Emelec 11.6%

Season statistics

Liga Pro · highlighted side is stronger

Independiente del ValleEmelec
Goals scored (avg)
–1.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.3

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Independiente del Valle0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Emelec4W 1D 5L in last 10
    • 25 OctEmelec0 – 1Guayaquil City FCL
    • 18 OctLeones del Norte1 – 3EmelecW
    • 10 OctGuayaquil City FC3 – 2EmelecL
    • 20 SeptEmelec1 – 2LibertadL
    • 13 SeptMacara1 – 0EmelecL
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.1% · 11
    1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
    2.5 goals13.1% · 1.811.8% · 2
    3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

    Both teams to score

    Yes46.4%
    No53.6%

    Double chance

    1X73.5%
    X226.5%

    Match result

    Independiente del Valle1.42
    Draw4.1
    Emelec8

    Both teams to score

    Yes46.4% · 2
    No53.6% · 1.73

    1X

    Chance73.5%
    Odds1.08

    X2

    Chance26.5%
    Odds3

    Independiente del Valle

    Chance65.6%
    Odds1.42

    Draw

    Chance22.7%
    Odds4.1

    Emelec

    Chance11.6%
    Odds8

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home at 1.42

    Independiente del ValleEmelec
    Recent form7%93%
    Attack45%55%
    Defence37%63%
    Goals model45%55%
    Overall85%15%

    Trends

    Trend · Liga Pro

    Emelec scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Liga Pro

    Emelec conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Liga Pro

    Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

    Trend · Liga Pro

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

    Independiente del Valle vs Emelec: prediction & preview

    Ecuador · Liga Pro · Mon, 20 Jul 2026

    Independiente del Valle meet Emelec in the Ecuador, Liga Pro on 20 July 2026 at 01:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 6–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente del Valle at 1.42. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Independiente del Valle vs Emelec FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Independiente del Valle vs Emelec?

    Kickoff is 01:15 on 20 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Independiente del Valle vs Emelec?

    Independiente del Valle is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.42. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.6%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

    Independiente del Valle vs Emelec prediction, H2H and stats