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Independiente del Valle vs Libertad Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ecuador · Liga ProSat, 23 May 2026

Independiente del Valle

1st in table · 74 pts

DWWLD

Sat, 23 May 202601:00

2 : 3

Full time

Libertad

7th in table · 41 pts

LWWWL

Pre-match win probability

75%Independiente del Valle15.6%Draw9.4%Libertad

Our prediction

Home · Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle vs Libertad listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence75%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independiente del Valle 75%
  • Draw 15.6%
  • Libertad 9.4%

Season statistics

Liga Pro · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Independiente del ValleLibertad
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.2
Wins
2411
Played
3030

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Independiente del Valle4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 23 OctIndependiente del Valle0 – 0Universidad CatolicaD
  • 17 OctMacara1 – 0Independiente del ValleL
  • 10 OctIndependiente del Valle2 – 1AucasW
  • 25 SeptGualaceo SC0 – 2Independiente del ValleW
  • 18 SeptFlamengo1 – 1Independiente del ValleD
Libertad5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctLeones del Norte4 – 1LibertadL
  • 17 OctLibertad4 – 0Guayaquil City FCW
  • 9 OctLibertad3 – 0Leones del NorteW
  • 20 SeptEmelec1 – 2LibertadW
  • 14 SeptLibertad2 – 3Independiente del ValleL
H2H
Head to headIndependiente del Valle 4W · 4D · Libertad 1W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 14 SeptLibertad2 – 3Independiente del Valle
  • 6 DecIndependiente del Valle1 – 1Libertad
  • 4 NovLibertad1 – 3Independiente del Valle
  • 14 JunIndependiente del Valle1 – 1Libertad
  • 15 FebLibertad2 – 0Independiente del Valle
  • 21 SeptLibertad1 – 1Independiente del Valle

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.3% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
2.5 goals16.9% · 1.48.2% · 2.88
3.5 goals11.8% · 213.7% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X79.2%
X220.8%

Match result

Independiente del Valle1.25
Draw6
Libertad10

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance79.2%
Odds1.05

X2

Chance20.8%
Odds4

Independiente del Valle

Chance75%
Odds1.25

Draw

Chance15.6%
Odds6

Libertad

Chance9.4%
Odds10

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.25

Independiente del ValleLibertad
Recent form47%53%
Attack45%55%
Defence50%50%
Goals model45%55%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall89%11%

Trends

Trend · Liga Pro

Independiente del Valle scored 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga Pro

Independiente del Valle conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga Pro

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Liga Pro

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Independiente del Valle vs Libertad: prediction & preview

Ecuador · Liga Pro · Sat, 23 May 2026

Independiente del Valle meet Libertad in the Ecuador, Liga Pro on 23 May 2026 at 01:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente del Valle at 1.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 75% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Independiente del Valle vs Libertad FAQs

4 questions

What time is Independiente del Valle vs Libertad?

Kickoff is 01:00 on 23 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Independiente del Valle vs Libertad?

Independiente del Valle is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 75%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.88.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.