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Independiente F.b.c. vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Paraguay · Copa ParaguayWed, 30 Sept 2026

Independiente F.b.c.

Wed, 30 Sept 202621:00

2 : 2

Full time

Nacional Asuncion

Pre-match win probability

20.7%Independiente F.b.c.26.4%Draw52.8%Nacional Asuncion

Our prediction

Nacional Asuncion

Nacional Asuncion is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.7
Confidence52.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independiente F.b.c. 20.7%
  • Draw 26.4%
  • Nacional Asuncion 52.8%

Season statistics

Copa Paraguay · highlighted side is stronger

Independiente F.b.c.Nacional Asuncion

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals47.4% · 252.6% · 1.8

Double chance

1X38.2%
X261.8%

Match result

Independiente F.b.c.4.33
Draw3.4
Nacional Asuncion1.7

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance38.2%
Odds1.91

X2

Chance61.8%
Odds1.18

Independiente F.b.c.

Chance20.7%
Odds4.33

Draw

Chance26.4%
Odds3.4

Nacional Asuncion

Chance52.8%
Odds1.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Nacional Asuncion at 1.7

Independiente F.b.c.Nacional Asuncion
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall28%72%

Independiente F.b.c. vs Nacional Asuncion: prediction & preview

Paraguay · Copa Paraguay · Wed, 30 Sept 2026

Independiente F.b.c. meet Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay, Copa Paraguay on 30 September 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nacional Asuncion at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Independiente F.b.c. vs Nacional Asuncion FAQs

4 questions

What time is Independiente F.b.c. vs Nacional Asuncion?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 30 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Independiente F.b.c. vs Nacional Asuncion?

Nacional Asuncion is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Independiente F.b.c. vs Nacional Asuncion prediction, H2H and stats