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Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Copa ColombiaThu, 18 Dec 2025

Independiente Medellin

DWLDL

Thu, 18 Dec 202501:30

0 : 1

Full time

Atletico Nacional

DLWLD

Pre-match win probability

36.1%Independiente Medellin31.3%Draw32.6%Atletico Nacional

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence36.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independiente Medellin 36.1%
  • Draw 31.3%
  • Atletico Nacional 32.6%

Season statistics

Copa Colombia · highlighted side is stronger

Independiente MedellinAtletico Nacional

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.3% · 1.13.4% · 7
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.449% · 2.62
2.5 goals10% · 2.3515% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.18

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X52.4%
X247.6%

Match result

Independiente Medellin2.6
Draw3
Atletico Nacional2.88

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance52.4%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance47.6%
Odds1.5

Independiente Medellin

Chance36.1%
Odds2.6

Draw

Chance31.3%
Odds3

Atletico Nacional

Chance32.6%
Odds2.88

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.5

Independiente MedellinAtletico Nacional
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall53%47%

Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional: prediction & preview

Colombia · Copa Colombia · Thu, 18 Dec 2025

Independiente Medellin meet Atletico Nacional in the Colombia, Copa Colombia on 18 December 2025 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente Medellin at 2.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional FAQs

4 questions

What time is Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 18 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional?

Independiente Medellin is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional prediction, H2H and stats