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Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Primera ASun, 12 Apr 2026

Independiente Medellin

Sun, 12 Apr 202602:20

2 : 3

Full time

Atletico Nacional

Pre-match win probability

29.6%Independiente Medellin26.3%Draw44.1%Atletico Nacional

Our prediction

Atletico Nacional

Atletico Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence44.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independiente Medellin 29.6%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Atletico Nacional 44.1%

Season statistics

Primera A · highlighted side is stronger

Independiente MedellinAtletico Nacional

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.1% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X45.6%
X254.4%

Match result

Independiente Medellin3.2
Draw3.6
Atletico Nacional2.15

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance45.6%
Odds1.62

X2

Chance54.4%
Odds1.36

Independiente Medellin

Chance29.6%
Odds3.2

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Atletico Nacional

Chance44.1%
Odds2.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Atletico Nacional at 2.15

Independiente MedellinAtletico Nacional
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall40%60%

Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional: prediction & preview

Colombia · Primera A · Sun, 12 Apr 2026

Independiente Medellin meet Atletico Nacional in the Colombia, Primera A on 12 April 2026 at 02:20 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Nacional at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional FAQs

4 questions

What time is Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional?

Kickoff is 02:20 on 12 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional?

Atletico Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional prediction, H2H and stats