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Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Primera AMon, 16 Jun 2025

Independiente Medellin

1st in table · 40 pts

LWLLL

Mon, 16 Jun 202500:15

vs

Not started

Deportes Tolima

2nd in table · 38 pts

Pre-match win probability

53.6%Independiente Medellin28.1%Draw18.4%Deportes Tolima

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima listed tip from the board.

Odds1.15
Confidence53.6%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independiente Medellin 53.6%
  • Draw 28.1%
  • Deportes Tolima 18.4%

Season statistics

Primera A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Independiente MedellinDeportes Tolima
Goals scored (avg)
1.2–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.8–
Wins
1212
Played
2020

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Independiente Medellin2W 2D 6L in last 10
  • 26 OctAtletico Nacional2 – 1Independiente MedellinL
  • 18 OctIndependiente Medellin0 – 2Once CaldasL
  • 15 OctAtletico Nacional3 – 2Independiente MedellinL
  • 12 OctAmerica de Cali1 – 2Independiente MedellinW
  • 6 OctIndependiente Medellin0 – 1Santa FeL
Deportes Tolima0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headIndependiente Medellin 3W · 4D · Deportes Tolima 2W · 2.9 goals a game
    • 5 AugDeportes Tolima2 – 3Independiente Medellin
    • 28 JanIndependiente Medellin2 – 2Deportes Tolima
    • 28 SeptDeportes Tolima2 – 3Independiente Medellin
    • 5 JunDeportes Tolima1 – 3Independiente Medellin
    • 16 MayIndependiente Medellin0 – 1Deportes Tolima
    • 22 SeptIndependiente Medellin0 – 1Deportes Tolima

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.1% · 1.033.2% · 7.2
    1.5 goals16.4% · 1.398.8% · 2.6
    2.5 goals9.7% · 2.3514.5% · 1.57
    3.5 goals5.3% · 4.3320% · 1.14

    Both teams to score

    Yes43.3%
    No56.7%

    Double chance

    1X64.1%
    X235.9%

    Match result

    Independiente Medellin1.76
    Draw3.36
    Deportes Tolima5.13

    Both teams to score

    Yes43.3% · 2.17
    No56.7% · 1.66

    1X

    Chance64.1%
    Odds1.15

    X2

    Chance35.9%
    Odds2.05

    Independiente Medellin

    Chance53.6%
    Odds1.76

    Draw

    Chance28.1%
    Odds3.36

    Deportes Tolima

    Chance18.4%
    Odds5.13

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.15

    Independiente MedellinDeportes Tolima
    Recent form89%11%
    Attack55%45%
    Defence55%45%
    Goals model55%45%
    Head-to-head56%44%
    Overall74%26%

    Trends

    Trend · Primera A

    Independiente Medellin scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera A

    Independiente Medellin conceded 1.8 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera A

    Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

    Trend · Primera A

    Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 10.

    Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima: prediction & preview

    Colombia · Primera A · Mon, 16 Jun 2025

    Independiente Medellin meet Deportes Tolima in the Colombia, Primera A on 16 June 2025 at 00:15 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente Medellin at 1.76. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.66.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima?

    Kickoff is 00:15 on 16 June 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima?

    Independiente Medellin is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.76. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.6%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.17. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.