Get Premium

Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Primera AWed, 28 Jan 2026

Independiente Medellin

LLWL

Wed, 28 Jan 202602:30

2 : 2

Full time

Deportes Tolima

WW

Pre-match win probability

43%Independiente Medellin31.5%Draw25.5%Deportes Tolima

Our prediction

Away · Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima listed tip from the board.

Odds3.7
Confidence43%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independiente Medellin 43%
  • Draw 31.5%
  • Deportes Tolima 25.5%

Season statistics

Primera A · highlighted side is stronger

Independiente MedellinDeportes Tolima

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
2.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.1% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X55.9%
X244.1%

Match result

Independiente Medellin2.2
Draw3
Deportes Tolima3.7

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance55.9%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance44.1%
Odds1.62

Independiente Medellin

Chance43%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance31.5%
Odds3

Deportes Tolima

Chance25.5%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 3.7

Independiente MedellinDeportes Tolima
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall63%37%

Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima: prediction & preview

Colombia · Primera A · Wed, 28 Jan 2026

Independiente Medellin meet Deportes Tolima in the Colombia, Primera A on 28 January 2026 at 02:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente Medellin at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima FAQs

4 questions

What time is Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima?

Kickoff is 02:30 on 28 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima?

Independiente Medellin is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 43%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima prediction, H2H and stats