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Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Primera ASat, 18 Oct 2025

Independiente Medellin

Sat, 18 Oct 202500:30

3 : 1

Full time

Fortaleza FC

Pre-match win probability

59.3%Independiente Medellin24.4%Draw16.3%Fortaleza FC

Our prediction

Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.57
Confidence59.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independiente Medellin 59.3%
  • Draw 24.4%
  • Fortaleza FC 16.3%

Season statistics

Primera A · highlighted side is stronger

Independiente MedellinFortaleza FC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.022.8% · 8.3
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.287.4% · 3.08
2.5 goals11.5% · 1.9812.8% · 1.78
3.5 goals7% · 3.2818.3% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes46.5%
No53.5%

Double chance

1X67.7%
X232.3%

Match result

Independiente Medellin1.57
Draw3.82
Fortaleza FC5.72

Both teams to score

Yes46.5% · 1.99
No53.5% · 1.73

1X

Chance67.7%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance32.3%
Odds2.31

Independiente Medellin

Chance59.3%
Odds1.57

Draw

Chance24.4%
Odds3.82

Fortaleza FC

Chance16.3%
Odds5.72

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Independiente Medellin at 1.57

Independiente MedellinFortaleza FC
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall78%22%

Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC: prediction & preview

Colombia · Primera A · Sat, 18 Oct 2025

Independiente Medellin meet Fortaleza FC in the Colombia, Primera A on 18 October 2025 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente Medellin at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.78, about 52.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC FAQs

4 questions

What time is Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 18 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC?

Independiente Medellin is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.98 and under 2.5 is 1.78.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.99. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC prediction, H2H and stats