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Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Primera ASun, 26 Apr 2026

Independiente Medellin

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Sun, 26 Apr 202602:30

1 : 0

Full time

Fortaleza FC

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Pre-match win probability

59.2%Independiente Medellin23.8%Draw16.9%Fortaleza FC

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC listed tip from the board.

Odds1.12
Confidence59.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independiente Medellin 59.2%
  • Draw 23.8%
  • Fortaleza FC 16.9%

Season statistics

Primera A · highlighted side is stronger

Independiente MedellinFortaleza FC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals13.6% · 1.7311.3% · 2.08
3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X68%
X232%

Match result

Independiente Medellin1.57
Draw3.9
Fortaleza FC5.5

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance68%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance32%
Odds2.38

Independiente Medellin

Chance59.2%
Odds1.57

Draw

Chance23.8%
Odds3.9

Fortaleza FC

Chance16.9%
Odds5.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.12

Independiente MedellinFortaleza FC
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall78%22%

Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC: prediction & preview

Colombia · Primera A · Sun, 26 Apr 2026

Independiente Medellin meet Fortaleza FC in the Colombia, Primera A on 26 April 2026 at 02:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente Medellin at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC FAQs

4 questions

What time is Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC?

Kickoff is 02:30 on 26 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC?

Independiente Medellin is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC prediction, H2H and stats