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Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Copa ColombiaMon, 11 May 2026

Independiente Medellin

Mon, 11 May 202622:00

1 : 0

Full time

Fortaleza FC

Pre-match win probability

67.3%Independiente Medellin20.9%Draw11.8%Fortaleza FC

Our prediction

Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.4
Confidence67.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independiente Medellin 67.3%
  • Draw 20.9%
  • Fortaleza FC 11.8%

Season statistics

Copa Colombia · highlighted side is stronger

Independiente MedellinFortaleza FC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X69.3%
X230.7%

Match result

Independiente Medellin1.4
Draw4.5
Fortaleza FC8

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance69.3%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance30.7%
Odds2.5

Independiente Medellin

Chance67.3%
Odds1.4

Draw

Chance20.9%
Odds4.5

Fortaleza FC

Chance11.8%
Odds8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Independiente Medellin at 1.4

Independiente MedellinFortaleza FC
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall85%15%

Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC: prediction & preview

Colombia · Copa Colombia · Mon, 11 May 2026

Independiente Medellin meet Fortaleza FC in the Colombia, Copa Colombia on 11 May 2026 at 22:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente Medellin at 1.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 67.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC FAQs

4 questions

What time is Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC?

Kickoff is 22:00 on 11 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC?

Independiente Medellin is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 67.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC prediction, H2H and stats