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Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Primera ATue, 6 Oct 2026

Independiente Medellin

Tue, 6 Oct 202601:00

0 : 1

Full time

Santa Fe

Pre-match win probability

41.7%Independiente Medellin29.4%Draw28.9%Santa Fe

Our prediction

Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence41.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independiente Medellin 41.7%
  • Draw 29.4%
  • Santa Fe 28.9%

Season statistics

Primera A · highlighted side is stronger

Independiente MedellinSanta Fe

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X59.6%
X240.4%

Match result

Independiente Medellin2.25
Draw3.2
Santa Fe3.25

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance59.6%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance40.4%
Odds1.8

Independiente Medellin

Chance41.7%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance29.4%
Odds3.2

Santa Fe

Chance28.9%
Odds3.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Independiente Medellin at 2.25

Independiente MedellinSanta Fe
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall59%41%

Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe: prediction & preview

Colombia · Primera A · Tue, 6 Oct 2026

Independiente Medellin meet Santa Fe in the Colombia, Primera A on 6 October 2026 at 01:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente Medellin at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe FAQs

4 questions

What time is Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe?

Kickoff is 01:00 on 6 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe?

Independiente Medellin is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe prediction, H2H and stats