Get Premium

Independiente Medellin vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL SudamericanaWed, 22 Jul 2026

Independiente Medellin

Wed, 22 Jul 202623:00

2 : 1

Live

Vasco DA Gama

Pre-match win probability

40.9%Independiente Medellin30%Draw29.1%Vasco DA Gama

Our prediction

Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.35
Confidence40.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independiente Medellin 40.9%
  • Draw 30%
  • Vasco DA Gama 29.1%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · highlighted side is stronger

Independiente MedellinVasco DA Gama

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.3% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X54.1%
X245.9%

Match result

Independiente Medellin2.35
Draw3.2
Vasco DA Gama3.3

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance54.1%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance45.9%
Odds1.57

Independiente Medellin

Chance40.9%
Odds2.35

Draw

Chance30%
Odds3.2

Vasco DA Gama

Chance29.1%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Independiente Medellin at 2.35

Independiente MedellinVasco DA Gama
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall58%42%

Independiente Medellin vs Vasco DA Gama: prediction & preview

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Wed, 22 Jul 2026

Independiente Medellin meet Vasco DA Gama in the World, CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 22 July 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente Medellin at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Independiente Medellin vs Vasco DA Gama FAQs

4 questions

What time is Independiente Medellin vs Vasco DA Gama?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 22 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Independiente Medellin vs Vasco DA Gama?

Independiente Medellin is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Independiente Medellin vs Vasco DA Gama prediction, H2H and stats