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Independiente Petrolero vs Caracas FC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL SudamericanaTue, 5 May 2026

Independiente Petrolero

Tue, 5 May 202623:00

2 : 3

Live

Caracas FC

Pre-match win probability

46.1%Independiente Petrolero27%Draw27%Caracas FC

Our prediction

Independiente Petrolero

Independiente Petrolero is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.05
Confidence46.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independiente Petrolero 46.1%
  • Draw 27%
  • Caracas FC 27%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · highlighted side is stronger

Independiente PetroleroCaracas FC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X56.7%
X243.3%

Match result

Independiente Petrolero2.05
Draw3.5
Caracas FC3.5

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance56.7%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance43.3%
Odds1.7

Independiente Petrolero

Chance46.1%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance27%
Odds3.5

Caracas FC

Chance27%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Independiente Petrolero at 2.05

Independiente PetroleroCaracas FC
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall63%37%

Independiente Petrolero vs Caracas FC: prediction & preview

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Tue, 5 May 2026

Independiente Petrolero meet Caracas FC in the World, CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 5 May 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente Petrolero at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Independiente Petrolero vs Caracas FC FAQs

4 questions

What time is Independiente Petrolero vs Caracas FC?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 5 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Independiente Petrolero vs Caracas FC?

Independiente Petrolero is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Independiente Petrolero vs Caracas FC prediction, H2H and stats