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Independiente vs Newells Old Boys Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Liga Profesional ArgentinaFri, 31 Jul 2026

Independiente

Fri, 31 Jul 202601:15

1 : 0

Full time

Newells Old Boys

Pre-match win probability

62.1%Independiente24.4%Draw13.6%Newells Old Boys

Our prediction

Independiente

Independiente is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.53
Confidence62.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independiente 62.1%
  • Draw 24.4%
  • Newells Old Boys 13.6%

Season statistics

Liga Profesional Argentina · highlighted side is stronger

IndependienteNewells Old Boys

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.8% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X67.3%
X232.7%

Match result

Independiente1.53
Draw3.9
Newells Old Boys7

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance67.3%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance32.7%
Odds2.3

Independiente

Chance62.1%
Odds1.53

Draw

Chance24.4%
Odds3.9

Newells Old Boys

Chance13.6%
Odds7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Independiente at 1.53

IndependienteNewells Old Boys
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall82%18%

Independiente vs Newells Old Boys: prediction & preview

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · Fri, 31 Jul 2026

Independiente meet Newells Old Boys in the Argentina, Liga Profesional Argentina on 31 July 2026 at 01:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 62.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Independiente vs Newells Old Boys FAQs

4 questions

What time is Independiente vs Newells Old Boys?

Kickoff is 01:15 on 31 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Independiente vs Newells Old Boys?

Independiente is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 62.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Independiente vs Newells Old Boys prediction, H2H and stats