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Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Liga Profesional ArgentinaSat, 31 Jan 2026

Independiente

DDWDW

Sat, 31 Jan 202623:45

1 : 1

Full time

Velez Sarsfield

WW

Pre-match win probability

43.6%Independiente32.3%Draw24%Velez Sarsfield

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Independiente

Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield listed tip from the board.

Odds1.67
Confidence43.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independiente 43.6%
  • Draw 32.3%
  • Velez Sarsfield 24%

Season statistics

Liga Profesional Argentina · highlighted side is stronger

IndependienteVelez Sarsfield

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals20.7% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
1.5 goals14.5% · 1.6210.7% · 2.2
2.5 goals7.6% · 3.117.3% · 1.36
3.5 goals3.6% · 6.521.2% · 1.11

Both teams to score

Yes39.1%
No60.9%

Double chance

1X57.2%
X242.8%

Match result

Independiente2.15
Draw2.9
Velez Sarsfield3.9

Both teams to score

Yes39.1% · 2.38
No60.9% · 1.53

1X

Chance57.2%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance42.8%
Odds1.67

Independiente

Chance43.6%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance32.3%
Odds2.9

Velez Sarsfield

Chance24%
Odds3.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.67

IndependienteVelez Sarsfield
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall64%36%

Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield: prediction & preview

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · Sat, 31 Jan 2026

Independiente meet Velez Sarsfield in the Argentina, Liga Profesional Argentina on 31 January 2026 at 23:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.36, about 69.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield FAQs

4 questions

What time is Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield?

Kickoff is 23:45 on 31 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield?

Independiente is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 3.1 and under 2.5 is 1.36.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.38. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield prediction, H2H and stats