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Irapuato vs Leones Negros UDG Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MXSun, 18 Jan 2026

Irapuato

4th in table · 23 pts

Sun, 18 Jan 202602:00

4 : 1

Full time

Leones Negros UDG

6th in table · 21 pts

Pre-match win probability

51.4%Irapuato26.1%Draw22.4%Leones Negros UDG

Our prediction

Irapuato

Irapuato is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.83
Confidence51.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Irapuato 51.4%
  • Draw 26.1%
  • Leones Negros UDG 22.4%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · highlighted side is stronger

IrapuatoLeones Negros UDG
Wins
66
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Irapuato0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Leones Negros UDG0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      2.5 goals48.7% · 1.9551.3% · 1.85

      Double chance

      1X53.6%
      X246.4%

      Match result

      Irapuato1.83
      Draw3.6
      Leones Negros UDG4.2

      No BTTS prices stored.

      1X

      Chance53.6%
      Odds1.36

      X2

      Chance46.4%
      Odds1.57

      Irapuato

      Chance51.4%
      Odds1.83

      Draw

      Chance26.1%
      Odds3.6

      Leones Negros UDG

      Chance22.4%
      Odds4.2

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Irapuato at 1.83

      IrapuatoLeones Negros UDG
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Overall70%30%

      Irapuato vs Leones Negros UDG: prediction & preview

      Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Sun, 18 Jan 2026

      Irapuato meet Leones Negros UDG in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 18 January 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Irapuato at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin).

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Irapuato vs Leones Negros UDG FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Irapuato vs Leones Negros UDG?

      Kickoff is 02:00 on 18 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Irapuato vs Leones Negros UDG?

      Irapuato is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.4%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.