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Itabirito vs Atletico-MG Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Mineiro - 1Sat, 14 Feb 2026

Itabirito

WLLWD

Sat, 14 Feb 202623:00

0 : 5

Live

Atletico-MG

DDLWD

Pre-match win probability

9.4%Itabirito21.8%Draw68.8%Atletico-MG

Our prediction

X2 · Itabirito

Itabirito vs Atletico-MG listed tip from the board.

Odds1.06
Confidence68.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Itabirito 9.4%
  • Draw 21.8%
  • Atletico-MG 68.8%

Season statistics

Mineiro - 1 · highlighted side is stronger

ItabiritoAtletico-MG

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes33.7%
No66.3%

Double chance

1X24.6%
X275.4%

Match result

Itabirito9.5
Draw4.1
Atletico-MG1.3

Both teams to score

Yes33.7% · 2.75
No66.3% · 1.4

1X

Chance24.6%
Odds3.25

X2

Chance75.4%
Odds1.06

Itabirito

Chance9.4%
Odds9.5

Draw

Chance21.8%
Odds4.1

Atletico-MG

Chance68.8%
Odds1.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.06

ItabiritoAtletico-MG
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall12%88%

Itabirito vs Atletico-MG: prediction & preview

Brazil · Mineiro - 1 · Sat, 14 Feb 2026

Itabirito meet Atletico-MG in the Brazil, Mineiro - 1 on 14 February 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–5.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico-MG at 1.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 68.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Itabirito vs Atletico-MG FAQs

4 questions

What time is Itabirito vs Atletico-MG?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 14 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Itabirito vs Atletico-MG?

Atletico-MG is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 68.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Itabirito vs Atletico-MG prediction, H2H and stats