Get Premium

Italy vs Belgium Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueFri, 25 Sept 2026

Italy

WW

Fri, 25 Sept 202619:45

0 : 2

Full time

Belgium

LWDWD

Pre-match win probability

43.1%Italy26.3%Draw30.6%Belgium

Our prediction

Home · Italy

Italy vs Belgium listed tip from the board.

Odds2.2
Confidence43.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Italy 43.1%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Belgium 30.6%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

ItalyBelgium

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6510.7% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X55.1%
X244.9%

Match result

Italy2.2
Draw3.6
Belgium3.1

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

Italy

Chance43.1%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Belgium

Chance30.6%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2.2

ItalyBelgium
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall58%42%

Italy vs Belgium: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Fri, 25 Sept 2026

Italy meet Belgium in the World, UEFA Nations League on 25 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Italy at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Italy vs Belgium FAQs

4 questions

What time is Italy vs Belgium?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 25 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Italy vs Belgium?

Italy is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Italy vs Belgium prediction, H2H and stats