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Italy W vs Sweden W Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · World Cup - Women - Qualification EuropeTue, 3 Mar 2026

Italy W

Tue, 3 Mar 202618:15

0 : 1

Full time

Sweden W

Pre-match win probability

29%Italy W27.2%Draw43.8%Sweden W

Our prediction

Sweden W

Sweden W is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.05
Confidence43.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Italy W 29%
  • Draw 27.2%
  • Sweden W 43.8%

Season statistics

World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · highlighted side is stronger

Italy WSweden W

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.032.5% · 9.5
1.5 goals17.6% · 1.337.2% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.4% · 2.0513.4% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.3% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X44.1%
X255.9%

Match result

Italy W3.1
Draw3.3
Sweden W2.05

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance44.1%
Odds1.62

X2

Chance55.9%
Odds1.28

Italy W

Chance29%
Odds3.1

Draw

Chance27.2%
Odds3.3

Sweden W

Chance43.8%
Odds2.05

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Sweden W at 2.05

Italy WSweden W
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall40%60%

Italy W vs Sweden W: prediction & preview

World · World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · Tue, 3 Mar 2026

Italy W meet Sweden W in the World, World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe on 3 March 2026 at 18:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sweden W at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Italy W vs Sweden W FAQs

4 questions

What time is Italy W vs Sweden W?

Kickoff is 18:15 on 3 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Italy W vs Sweden W?

Sweden W is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Italy W vs Sweden W prediction, H2H and stats