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Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Poland · EkstraklasaSat, 9 May 2026

Jagiellonia

Sat, 9 May 202616:30

3 : 2

Full time

Pogon Szczecin

Pre-match win probability

53.3%Jagiellonia24.3%Draw22.5%Pogon Szczecin

Our prediction

Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.73
Confidence53.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Jagiellonia 53.3%
  • Draw 24.3%
  • Pogon Szczecin 22.5%

Season statistics

Ekstraklasa · highlighted side is stronger

JagielloniaPogon Szczecin

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.6% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.4% · 1.539.8% · 2.4
3.5 goals10.5% · 2.2515% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X62.7%
X237.3%

Match result

Jagiellonia1.73
Draw3.8
Pogon Szczecin4.1

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance62.7%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance37.3%
Odds2.05

Jagiellonia

Chance53.3%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance24.3%
Odds3.8

Pogon Szczecin

Chance22.5%
Odds4.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Jagiellonia at 1.73

JagielloniaPogon Szczecin
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall70%30%

Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin: prediction & preview

Poland · Ekstraklasa · Sat, 9 May 2026

Jagiellonia meet Pogon Szczecin in the Poland, Ekstraklasa on 9 May 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Jagiellonia at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin FAQs

4 questions

What time is Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 9 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?

Jagiellonia is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin prediction, H2H and stats