Jagiellonia vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Jagiellonia

LLDWW

Thu, 11 Dec 202518:45

1 : 2

Full time

Rayo Vallecano

LDDLD

Pre-match win probability

25.4%Jagiellonia27.6%Draw47%Rayo Vallecano

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia vs Rayo Vallecano listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence47%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Jagiellonia 25.4%
  • Draw 27.6%
  • Rayo Vallecano 47%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa Conference League · highlighted side is stronger

JagielloniaRayo Vallecano

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.1% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X41.6%
X258.4%

Match result

Jagiellonia3.7
Draw3.4
Rayo Vallecano2

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance41.6%
Odds1.8

X2

Chance58.4%
Odds1.28

Jagiellonia

Chance25.4%
Odds3.7

Draw

Chance27.6%
Odds3.4

Rayo Vallecano

Chance47%
Odds2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.8

JagielloniaRayo Vallecano
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall35%65%

Jagiellonia vs Rayo Vallecano: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 11 Dec 2025

Jagiellonia meet Rayo Vallecano in the World, UEFA Europa Conference League on 11 December 2025 at 18:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Rayo Vallecano at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Jagiellonia vs Rayo Vallecano FAQs

4 questions

What time is Jagiellonia vs Rayo Vallecano?

Kickoff is 18:45 on 11 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Jagiellonia vs Rayo Vallecano?

Rayo Vallecano is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 47%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.