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Jaguares vs Independiente Medellin Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Primera AMon, 16 Mar 2026

Jaguares

16th in table · 18 pts

LWLLW

Mon, 16 Mar 202600:20

1 : 2

Full time

Independiente Medellin

11th in table · 26 pts

LWLLL

Pre-match win probability

24.3%Jaguares29.6%Draw46.2%Independiente Medellin

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Jaguares

Jaguares vs Independiente Medellin listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence46.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Jaguares 24.3%
  • Draw 29.6%
  • Independiente Medellin 46.2%

Season statistics

Primera A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

JaguaresIndependiente Medellin
Goals scored (avg)
1.51.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.11.8
Wins
57
Played
1919

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Jaguares2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 27 OctJaguares1 – 0LlanerosW
  • 22 OctSanta Fe2 – 1JaguaresL
  • 18 OctMillonarios4 – 1JaguaresL
  • 11 OctJaguares3 – 2Deportes TolimaW
  • 3 OctÁguilas Doradas2 – 0JaguaresL
Independiente Medellin2W 2D 6L in last 10
  • 26 OctAtletico Nacional2 – 1Independiente MedellinL
  • 18 OctIndependiente Medellin0 – 2Once CaldasL
  • 15 OctAtletico Nacional3 – 2Independiente MedellinL
  • 12 OctAmerica de Cali1 – 2Independiente MedellinW
  • 6 OctIndependiente Medellin0 – 1Santa FeL
H2H
Head to headJaguares 1W · 4D · Independiente Medellin 4W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 23 SeptIndependiente Medellin2 – 1Jaguares
  • 7 AugJaguares0 – 1Independiente Medellin
  • 1 AugIndependiente Medellin1 – 1Jaguares
  • 29 OctIndependiente Medellin4 – 1Jaguares
  • 8 AprJaguares2 – 2Independiente Medellin
  • 2 SeptJaguares1 – 1Independiente Medellin

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.083.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.2% · 2.314.7% · 1.6
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.6% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X42.4%
X257.6%

Match result

Jaguares3.9
Draw3.2
Independiente Medellin2.05

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance42.4%
Odds1.7

X2

Chance57.6%
Odds1.25

Jaguares

Chance24.3%
Odds3.9

Draw

Chance29.6%
Odds3.2

Independiente Medellin

Chance46.2%
Odds2.05

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.25

JaguaresIndependiente Medellin
Recent form53%47%
Attack56%44%
Defence43%57%
Goals model56%44%
Head-to-head33%67%
Overall34%66%

Trends

Trend · Primera A

Jaguares scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera A

Jaguares conceded 2.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera A

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Primera A

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Jaguares vs Independiente Medellin: prediction & preview

Colombia · Primera A · Mon, 16 Mar 2026

Jaguares meet Independiente Medellin in the Colombia, Primera A on 16 March 2026 at 00:20 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente Medellin at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Jaguares vs Independiente Medellin FAQs

4 questions

What time is Jaguares vs Independiente Medellin?

Kickoff is 00:20 on 16 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Jaguares vs Independiente Medellin?

Independiente Medellin is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.3 and under 2.5 is 1.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.