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Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Scotland · League CupFri, 14 Aug 2026

Kilmarnock

WDLWL

Fri, 14 Aug 202619:45

3 : 2

Full time

Ayr Utd

WLWDL

Pre-match win probability

58.3%Kilmarnock23.5%Draw18.3%Ayr Utd

Our prediction

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.57
Confidence58.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Kilmarnock 58.3%
  • Draw 23.5%
  • Ayr Utd 18.3%

Season statistics

League Cup · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

KilmarnockAyr Utd
Goals scored (avg)
0.80.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.2

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Kilmarnock2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 24 OctFalkirk3 – 0KilmarnockL
  • 17 OctKilmarnock3 – 2MotherwellW
  • 10 OctRangers3 – 1KilmarnockL
  • 19 SeptKilmarnock1 – 1Heart Of MidlothianD
  • 15 SeptHibernian0 – 1KilmarnockW
Ayr Utd2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 16 OctAyr Utd0 – 1PartickL
  • 10 OctAyr Utd1 – 1DunfermlineD
  • 3 OctLivingston1 – 2Ayr UtdW
  • 25 SeptAyr Utd0 – 1StenhousemuirL
  • 18 SeptQueen's Park0 – 2Ayr UtdW
H2H
Head to headKilmarnock 4W · 0D · Ayr Utd 3W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 4 JulKilmarnock1 – 0Ayr Utd
  • 11 JulAyr Utd3 – 2Kilmarnock
  • 11 MarAyr Utd1 – 3Kilmarnock
  • 9 FebKilmarnock1 – 2Ayr Utd
  • 26 OctAyr Utd0 – 1Kilmarnock
  • 2 AugKilmarnock2 – 0Ayr Utd

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.912.5% · 1.9
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X66.3%
X233.7%

Match result

Kilmarnock1.57
Draw3.9
Ayr Utd5

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance66.3%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance33.7%
Odds2.3

Kilmarnock

Chance58.3%
Odds1.57

Draw

Chance23.5%
Odds3.9

Ayr Utd

Chance18.3%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Kilmarnock at 1.57

KilmarnockAyr Utd
Recent form53%47%
Attack50%50%
Defence42%58%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head57%43%
Overall76%24%

Trends

Trend · League Cup

Kilmarnock scored 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · League Cup

Kilmarnock conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · League Cup

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · League Cup

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd: prediction & preview

Scotland · League Cup · Fri, 14 Aug 2026

Kilmarnock meet Ayr Utd in the Scotland, League Cup on 14 August 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Kilmarnock at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd FAQs

4 questions

What time is Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 14 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd?

Kilmarnock is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.