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Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Japan · J3 LeagueSun, 30 Aug 2026

Kitakyushu

12th in table · 16 pts

WLWLW

Sun, 30 Aug 202610:00

1 : 1

Full time

Matsumoto Yamaga

15th in table · 14 pts

WLLWL

Pre-match win probability

35.5%Kitakyushu28.3%Draw36.2%Matsumoto Yamaga

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Kitakyushu

Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence36.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Kitakyushu 35.5%
  • Draw 28.3%
  • Matsumoto Yamaga 36.2%

Season statistics

J3 League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

KitakyushuMatsumoto Yamaga
Goals scored (avg)
1.50.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.81
Wins
43
Played
1313

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Kitakyushu4W 1D 5L in last 10
  • 25 OctKitakyushu3 – 1Parceiro NaganoW
  • 21 OctFukushima United2 – 1KitakyushuL
  • 17 OctKitakyushu3 – 1OsakaW
  • 10 OctNara Club2 – 0KitakyushuL
  • 3 OctKitakyushu2 – 0Kochi UnitedW
Matsumoto Yamaga4W 1D 5L in last 10
  • 25 OctMatsumoto Yamaga0 – 2Renofa YamaguchiL
  • 21 OctMatsumoto Yamaga2 – 0Thespakusatsu GunmaW
  • 18 OctParceiro Nagano2 – 1Matsumoto YamagaL
  • 14 OctMatsumoto Yamaga0 – 1Sanfrecce HiroshimaL
  • 11 OctMatsumoto Yamaga1 – 0Kagoshima UnitedW
H2H
Head to headKitakyushu 0W · 3D · Matsumoto Yamaga 6W · 2.1 goals a game
  • 29 NovMatsumoto Yamaga2 – 1Kitakyushu
  • 26 AprKitakyushu1 – 2Matsumoto Yamaga
  • 20 JulKitakyushu0 – 0Matsumoto Yamaga
  • 18 MayMatsumoto Yamaga1 – 1Kitakyushu
  • 5 NovMatsumoto Yamaga1 – 0Kitakyushu
  • 9 AprKitakyushu2 – 4Matsumoto Yamaga

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals46.1% · 2.0553.9% · 1.75

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Kitakyushu2.55
Draw3.2
Matsumoto Yamaga2.5

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.44

Kitakyushu

Chance35.5%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance28.3%
Odds3.2

Matsumoto Yamaga

Chance36.2%
Odds2.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.44

KitakyushuMatsumoto Yamaga
Recent form50%50%
Attack65%35%
Defence37%63%
Goals model65%35%
Head-to-head17%83%
Overall50%50%

Trends

Trend · J3 League

Kitakyushu scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · J3 League

Kitakyushu conceded 1.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · J3 League

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · J3 League

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga: prediction & preview

Japan · J3 League · Sun, 30 Aug 2026

Kitakyushu meet Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan, J3 League on 30 August 2026 at 10:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Matsumoto Yamaga at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga FAQs

4 questions

What time is Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Kickoff is 10:00 on 30 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Matsumoto Yamaga is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.