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Kitakyushu vs Sagan Tosu Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Japan · J2 LeagueSun, 12 Apr 2026

Kitakyushu

Sun, 12 Apr 202606:00

0 : 1

Full time

Sagan Tosu

Pre-match win probability

25.8%Kitakyushu27.8%Draw46.4%Sagan Tosu

Our prediction

Sagan Tosu

Sagan Tosu is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.95
Confidence46.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Kitakyushu 25.8%
  • Draw 27.8%
  • Sagan Tosu 46.4%

Season statistics

J2 League · highlighted side is stronger

KitakyushuSagan Tosu

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.032.5% · 9.5
1.5 goals17.6% · 1.337.2% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.4% · 2.0513.4% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.3% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X44.5%
X255.5%

Match result

Kitakyushu3.5
Draw3.25
Sagan Tosu1.95

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance44.5%
Odds1.62

X2

Chance55.5%
Odds1.3

Kitakyushu

Chance25.8%
Odds3.5

Draw

Chance27.8%
Odds3.25

Sagan Tosu

Chance46.4%
Odds1.95

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Sagan Tosu at 1.95

KitakyushuSagan Tosu
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall36%64%

Kitakyushu vs Sagan Tosu: prediction & preview

Japan · J2 League · Sun, 12 Apr 2026

Kitakyushu meet Sagan Tosu in the Japan, J2 League on 12 April 2026 at 06:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sagan Tosu at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Kitakyushu vs Sagan Tosu FAQs

4 questions

What time is Kitakyushu vs Sagan Tosu?

Kickoff is 06:00 on 12 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Kitakyushu vs Sagan Tosu?

Sagan Tosu is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Kitakyushu vs Sagan Tosu prediction, H2H and stats