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Korona Kielce vs Lech Poznan Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Poland · EkstraklasaSun, 22 Feb 2026

Korona Kielce

WLWDD

Sun, 22 Feb 202617:30

1 : 2

Full time

Lech Poznan

WWWLL

Pre-match win probability

33.2%Korona Kielce26.1%Draw40.6%Lech Poznan

Our prediction

Draw · Korona Kielce

Korona Kielce vs Lech Poznan listed tip from the board.

Odds3.5
Confidence40.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Korona Kielce 33.2%
  • Draw 26.1%
  • Lech Poznan 40.6%

Season statistics

Ekstraklasa · highlighted side is stronger

Korona KielceLech Poznan

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals14.1% · 1.6710.9% · 2.15
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.3% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X46.4%
X253.6%

Match result

Korona Kielce2.75
Draw3.5
Lech Poznan2.25

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance46.4%
Odds1.62

X2

Chance53.6%
Odds1.4

Korona Kielce

Chance33.2%
Odds2.75

Draw

Chance26.1%
Odds3.5

Lech Poznan

Chance40.6%
Odds2.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.5

Korona KielceLech Poznan
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall45%55%

Korona Kielce vs Lech Poznan: prediction & preview

Poland · Ekstraklasa · Sun, 22 Feb 2026

Korona Kielce meet Lech Poznan in the Poland, Ekstraklasa on 22 February 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lech Poznan at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Korona Kielce vs Lech Poznan FAQs

4 questions

What time is Korona Kielce vs Lech Poznan?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 22 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Korona Kielce vs Lech Poznan?

Lech Poznan is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.