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KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Belgium · Jupiler Pro LeagueSun, 11 Oct 2026

KV Mechelen

Sun, 11 Oct 202618:15

4 : 3

Full time

St. Truiden

Pre-match win probability

30.8%KV Mechelen27.2%Draw42%St. Truiden

Our prediction

St. Truiden

St. Truiden is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.2
Confidence42%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • KV Mechelen 30.8%
  • Draw 27.2%
  • St. Truiden 42%

Season statistics

Jupiler Pro League · highlighted side is stronger

KV MechelenSt. Truiden

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.1% · 1.6711% · 2.15
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X44.4%
X255.6%

Match result

KV Mechelen3
Draw3.4
St. Truiden2.2

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance44.4%
Odds1.7

X2

Chance55.6%
Odds1.36

KV Mechelen

Chance30.8%
Odds3

Draw

Chance27.2%
Odds3.4

St. Truiden

Chance42%
Odds2.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: St. Truiden at 2.2

KV MechelenSt. Truiden
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall42%58%

KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden: prediction & preview

Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

KV Mechelen meet St. Truiden in the Belgium, Jupiler Pro League on 11 October 2026 at 18:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is St. Truiden at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden FAQs

4 questions

What time is KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden?

Kickoff is 18:15 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden?

St. Truiden is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 42%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden prediction, H2H and stats