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Lagarto vs Sergipe Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie DSun, 17 May 2026

Lagarto

4th in table · 13 pts

Sun, 17 May 202600:00

1 : 1

Full time

Sergipe

2nd in table · 15 pts

Pre-match win probability

27.2%Lagarto30%Draw42.8%Sergipe

Our prediction

Sergipe

Sergipe is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.1
Confidence42.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lagarto 27.2%
  • Draw 30%
  • Sergipe 42.8%

Season statistics

Serie D · highlighted side is stronger

LagartoSergipe
Wins
34
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lagarto0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Sergipe0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals21.9% · 1.073.1% · 7.5
      1.5 goals16.7% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
      2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.4% · 1.62
      3.5 goals5.8% · 419.2% · 1.22

      Both teams to score

      Yes46.4%
      No53.6%

      Double chance

      1X43.9%
      X256.1%

      Match result

      Lagarto3.3
      Draw3
      Sergipe2.1

      Both teams to score

      Yes46.4% · 2
      No53.6% · 1.73

      1X

      Chance43.9%
      Odds1.6

      X2

      Chance56.1%
      Odds1.25

      Lagarto

      Chance27.2%
      Odds3.3

      Draw

      Chance30%
      Odds3

      Sergipe

      Chance42.8%
      Odds2.1

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Sergipe at 2.1

      LagartoSergipe
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Overall39%61%

      Lagarto vs Sergipe: prediction & preview

      Brazil · Serie D · Sun, 17 May 2026

      Lagarto meet Sergipe in the Brazil, Serie D on 17 May 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sergipe at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Lagarto vs Sergipe FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Lagarto vs Sergipe?

      Kickoff is 00:00 on 17 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Lagarto vs Sergipe?

      Sergipe is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.8%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.