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Las Palmas vs Castellón Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónSat, 21 Feb 2026

Las Palmas

Sat, 21 Feb 202621:00

1 : 1

Full time

Castellón

Pre-match win probability

36%Las Palmas29.3%Draw34.7%Castellón

Our prediction

Las Palmas

Las Palmas is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.6
Confidence36%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Las Palmas 36%
  • Draw 29.3%
  • Castellón 34.7%

Season statistics

Segunda División · highlighted side is stronger

Las PalmasCastellón

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X51%
X249%

Match result

Las Palmas2.6
Draw3.2
Castellón2.7

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance51%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance49%
Odds1.5

Las Palmas

Chance36%
Odds2.6

Draw

Chance29.3%
Odds3.2

Castellón

Chance34.7%
Odds2.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Las Palmas at 2.6

Las PalmasCastellón
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall51%49%

Las Palmas vs Castellón: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División · Sat, 21 Feb 2026

Las Palmas meet Castellón in the Spain, Segunda División on 21 February 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Las Palmas at 2.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Las Palmas vs Castellón FAQs

4 questions

What time is Las Palmas vs Castellón?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 21 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Las Palmas vs Castellón?

Las Palmas is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 36%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Las Palmas vs Castellón prediction, H2H and stats