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Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSun, 6 Sept 2026

Las Vegas Lights

LLWWD

Sun, 6 Sept 202603:30

1 : 2

Full time

New Mexico United

LWDWW

Pre-match win probability

50.3%Las Vegas Lights23.8%Draw25.9%New Mexico United

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Las Vegas Lights

Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico United listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence50.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Las Vegas Lights 50.3%
  • Draw 23.8%
  • New Mexico United 25.9%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

Las Vegas LightsNew Mexico United

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.022.2% · 10.5
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.9% · 1.579.9% · 2.35
3.5 goals9.8% · 2.3815.2% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X59%
X241%

Match result

Las Vegas Lights1.8
Draw3.8
New Mexico United3.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance59%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance41%
Odds1.8

Las Vegas Lights

Chance50.3%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance23.8%
Odds3.8

New Mexico United

Chance25.9%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.8

Las Vegas LightsNew Mexico United
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall66%34%

Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico United: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 6 Sept 2026

Las Vegas Lights meet New Mexico United in the USA, USL Championship on 6 September 2026 at 03:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Las Vegas Lights at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico United FAQs

4 questions

What time is Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico United?

Kickoff is 03:30 on 6 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico United?

Las Vegas Lights is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico United prediction, H2H and stats