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Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 15 Mar 2026

Lazio

Sun, 15 Mar 202620:45

1 : 0

Full time

AC Milan

Pre-match win probability

22.4%Lazio26.8%Draw50.8%AC Milan

Our prediction

AC Milan

AC Milan is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.85
Confidence50.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lazio 22.4%
  • Draw 26.8%
  • AC Milan 50.8%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

LazioAC Milan

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.8% · 1.73
3.5 goals6.4% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X39%
X261%

Match result

Lazio4.2
Draw3.5
AC Milan1.85

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance39%
Odds1.91

X2

Chance61%
Odds1.22

Lazio

Chance22.4%
Odds4.2

Draw

Chance26.8%
Odds3.5

AC Milan

Chance50.8%
Odds1.85

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: AC Milan at 1.85

LazioAC Milan
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall31%69%

Lazio vs AC Milan: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 15 Mar 2026

Lazio meet AC Milan in the Italy, Serie A on 15 March 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AC Milan at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lazio vs AC Milan FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lazio vs AC Milan?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 15 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lazio vs AC Milan?

AC Milan is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Lazio vs AC Milan prediction, H2H and stats