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Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASat, 12 Sept 2026

Lazio

WWWLW

Sat, 12 Sept 202617:00

2 : 2

Full time

AC Milan

DWWWL

Pre-match win probability

25.4%Lazio29.3%Draw45.3%AC Milan

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Lazio

Lazio vs AC Milan listed tip from the board.

Odds1.7
Confidence45.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lazio 25.4%
  • Draw 29.3%
  • AC Milan 45.3%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

LazioAC Milan

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.2% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X43%
X257%

Match result

Lazio3.75
Draw3.25
AC Milan2.1

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance43%
Odds1.7

X2

Chance57%
Odds1.28

Lazio

Chance25.4%
Odds3.75

Draw

Chance29.3%
Odds3.25

AC Milan

Chance45.3%
Odds2.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.7

LazioAC Milan
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall36%64%

Lazio vs AC Milan: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Lazio meet AC Milan in the Italy, Serie A on 12 September 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AC Milan at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lazio vs AC Milan FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lazio vs AC Milan?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lazio vs AC Milan?

AC Milan is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Lazio vs AC Milan prediction, H2H and stats