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Lazio vs Atalanta Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Coppa ItaliaWed, 4 Mar 2026

Lazio

DWWWW

Wed, 4 Mar 202621:00

2 : 2

Full time

Atalanta

WWLLD

Pre-match win probability

30.7%Lazio32.8%Draw36.6%Atalanta

Our prediction

Atalanta

Atalanta is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.6
Confidence36.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lazio 30.7%
  • Draw 32.8%
  • Atalanta 36.6%

Season statistics

Coppa Italia · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LazioAtalanta
Goals scored (avg)
2.61.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.7

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lazio8W 2D 0L in last 10
  • 27 OctSassuolo2 – 6LazioW
  • 24 OctLazio2 – 1ParmaW
  • 18 OctJuventus0 – 3LazioW
  • 11 OctLazio3 – 1MonzaW
  • 3 OctLazio3 – 3Juve StabiaD
Atalanta4W 1D 5L in last 10
  • 25 OctAtalanta4 – 4FrosinoneD
  • 22 OctAjax2 – 0AtalantaL
  • 18 OctAC Milan3 – 2AtalantaL
  • 15 OctAtalanta3 – 1PafosW
  • 12 OctAtalanta3 – 1VeneziaW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.3% · 1.13.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.8% · 2.415.3% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.18

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X46.5%
X253.5%

Match result

Lazio3.1
Draw2.9
Atalanta2.6

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance46.5%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance53.5%
Odds1.33

Lazio

Chance30.7%
Odds3.1

Draw

Chance32.8%
Odds2.9

Atalanta

Chance36.6%
Odds2.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Atalanta at 2.6

LazioAtalanta
Recent form67%33%
Attack62%38%
Defence61%39%
Goals model62%38%
Overall46%54%

Trends

Trend · Coppa Italia

Lazio scored 2.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Coppa Italia

Lazio conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Coppa Italia

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Trend · Coppa Italia

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 10.

Lazio vs Atalanta: prediction & preview

Italy · Coppa Italia · Wed, 4 Mar 2026

Lazio meet Atalanta in the Italy, Coppa Italia on 4 March 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atalanta at 2.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lazio vs Atalanta FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lazio vs Atalanta?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 4 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lazio vs Atalanta?

Atalanta is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.4 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.