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Le Havre vs Metz Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sun, 26 Apr 2026

Le Havre

DDDLD

Sun, 26 Apr 202616:15

4 : 4

Full time

Metz

LDLWD

Pre-match win probability

60.7%Le Havre21.2%Draw18.1%Metz

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Le Havre

Le Havre vs Metz listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence60.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Le Havre 60.7%
  • Draw 21.2%
  • Metz 18.1%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Le HavreMetz
Goals scored (avg)
–1.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.4

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Le Havre0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Metz3W 5D 2L in last 10
    • 23 OctDunkerque1 – 1MetzD
    • 17 OctMetz3 – 2SochauxW
    • 12 OctDijon4 – 2MetzL
    • 19 SeptMetz2 – 2Saint EtienneD
    • 14 SeptRED Star FC 931 – 0MetzL
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
    1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
    2.5 goals13.3% · 1.811.9% · 2
    3.5 goals8% · 317% · 1.4

    Both teams to score

    Yes50%
    No50%

    Double chance

    1X66.4%
    X233.6%

    Match result

    Le Havre1.57
    Draw4.5
    Metz5.25

    Both teams to score

    Yes50% · 1.91
    No50% · 1.91

    1X

    Chance66.4%
    Odds1.14

    X2

    Chance33.6%
    Odds2.25

    Le Havre

    Chance60.7%
    Odds1.57

    Draw

    Chance21.2%
    Odds4.5

    Metz

    Chance18.1%
    Odds5.25

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.14

    Le HavreMetz
    Recent form7%93%
    Attack38%62%
    Defence38%62%
    Goals model38%62%
    Overall77%23%

    Trends

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Metz scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Metz conceded 1.4 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

    Le Havre vs Metz: prediction & preview

    France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 26 Apr 2026

    Le Havre meet Metz in the France, Ligue 1 on 26 April 2026 at 16:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–4.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Le Havre at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Le Havre vs Metz FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Le Havre vs Metz?

    Kickoff is 16:15 on 26 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Le Havre vs Metz?

    Le Havre is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.7%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.