Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie AMon, 20 Apr 2026

Lecce

LLLLW

Mon, 20 Apr 202619:45

1 : 1

Full time

Fiorentina

WWLWD

Pre-match win probability

27.1%Lecce28.8%Draw44.1%Fiorentina

Our prediction

Away · Lecce

Lecce vs Fiorentina listed tip from the board.

Odds2.15
Confidence44.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lecce 27.1%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Fiorentina 44.1%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

LecceFiorentina

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
1.5 goals17% · 1.47.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.3% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X43.4%
X256.6%

Match result

Lecce3.5
Draw3.3
Fiorentina2.15

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance43.4%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance56.6%
Odds1.28

Lecce

Chance27.1%
Odds3.5

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.3

Fiorentina

Chance44.1%
Odds2.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.15

LecceFiorentina
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall38%62%

Lecce vs Fiorentina: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Mon, 20 Apr 2026

Lecce meet Fiorentina in the Italy, Serie A on 20 April 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Fiorentina at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lecce vs Fiorentina FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lecce vs Fiorentina?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 20 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lecce vs Fiorentina?

Fiorentina is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Lecce vs Fiorentina prediction, H2H and stats