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Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Europa Conference LeagueThu, 11 Dec 2025

Lech Poznan

DWDWW

Thu, 11 Dec 202521:00

1 : 1

Full time

FSV Mainz 05

LLLDL

Pre-match win probability

34.9%Lech Poznan25.5%Draw39.6%FSV Mainz 05

Our prediction

Home · Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05 listed tip from the board.

Odds2.7
Confidence39.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lech Poznan 34.9%
  • Draw 25.5%
  • FSV Mainz 05 39.6%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa Conference League · highlighted side is stronger

Lech PoznanFSV Mainz 05

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710.1% · 2.35
3.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.5% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X48.5%
X251.5%

Match result

Lech Poznan2.7
Draw3.7
FSV Mainz 052.38

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance48.5%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance51.5%
Odds1.44

Lech Poznan

Chance34.9%
Odds2.7

Draw

Chance25.5%
Odds3.7

FSV Mainz 05

Chance39.6%
Odds2.38

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2.7

Lech PoznanFSV Mainz 05
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall47%53%

Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 11 Dec 2025

Lech Poznan meet FSV Mainz 05 in the World, UEFA Europa Conference League on 11 December 2025 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FSV Mainz 05 at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05 FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 11 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05?

FSV Mainz 05 is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction, H2H and stats