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Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Poland · CupWed, 4 Mar 2026

Lech Poznan

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Wed, 4 Mar 202620:30

0 : 1

Full time

Gornik Zabrze

LLDLW

Pre-match win probability

46.6%Lech Poznan26.7%Draw26.7%Gornik Zabrze

Our prediction

Home · Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze listed tip from the board.

Odds1.95
Confidence46.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lech Poznan 46.6%
  • Draw 26.7%
  • Gornik Zabrze 26.7%

Season statistics

Cup · highlighted side is stronger

Lech PoznanGornik Zabrze

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.5% · 1.7311.2% · 2.08
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X62.5%
X237.5%

Match result

Lech Poznan1.95
Draw3.4
Gornik Zabrze3.4

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance62.5%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance37.5%
Odds1.95

Lech Poznan

Chance46.6%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance26.7%
Odds3.4

Gornik Zabrze

Chance26.7%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.95

Lech PoznanGornik Zabrze
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall64%36%

Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze: prediction & preview

Poland · Cup · Wed, 4 Mar 2026

Lech Poznan meet Gornik Zabrze in the Poland, Cup on 4 March 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lech Poznan at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 4 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze?

Lech Poznan is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze prediction, H2H and stats