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Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Poland · EkstraklasaSun, 1 Mar 2026

Lech Poznan

WWWWW

Sun, 1 Mar 202617:30

4 : 3

Full time

Raków Częstochowa

WDDLW

Pre-match win probability

44.5%Lech Poznan26.1%Draw29.4%Raków Częstochowa

Our prediction

Home · Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa listed tip from the board.

Odds2.05
Confidence44.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lech Poznan 44.5%
  • Draw 26.1%
  • Raków Częstochowa 29.4%

Season statistics

Ekstraklasa · highlighted side is stronger

Lech PoznanRaków Częstochowa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.1% · 1.6711% · 2.15
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X54.9%
X245.1%

Match result

Lech Poznan2.05
Draw3.5
Raków Częstochowa3.1

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance54.9%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance45.1%
Odds1.62

Lech Poznan

Chance44.5%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance26.1%
Odds3.5

Raków Częstochowa

Chance29.4%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2.05

Lech PoznanRaków Częstochowa
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa: prediction & preview

Poland · Ekstraklasa · Sun, 1 Mar 2026

Lech Poznan meet Raków Częstochowa in the Poland, Ekstraklasa on 1 March 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lech Poznan at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 1 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa?

Lech Poznan is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa prediction, H2H and stats