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Lechia Gdansk vs Pogoń Siedlce Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Poland · I LigaFri, 21 Aug 2026

Lechia Gdansk

Fri, 21 Aug 202619:30

1 : 0

Full time

Pogoń Siedlce

Pre-match win probability

39.1%Lechia Gdansk28.1%Draw32.7%Pogoń Siedlce

Our prediction

Lechia Gdansk

Lechia Gdansk is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.3
Confidence39.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lechia Gdansk 39.1%
  • Draw 28.1%
  • Pogoń Siedlce 32.7%

Season statistics

I Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Lechia GdanskPogoń Siedlce

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals13.1% · 1.811.8% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X52.9%
X247.1%

Match result

Lechia Gdansk2.3
Draw3.2
Pogoń Siedlce2.75

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

Lechia Gdansk

Chance39.1%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance28.1%
Odds3.2

Pogoń Siedlce

Chance32.7%
Odds2.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Lechia Gdansk at 2.3

Lechia GdanskPogoń Siedlce
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall54%46%

Lechia Gdansk vs Pogoń Siedlce: prediction & preview

Poland · I Liga · Fri, 21 Aug 2026

Lechia Gdansk meet Pogoń Siedlce in the Poland, I Liga on 21 August 2026 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lechia Gdansk at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lechia Gdansk vs Pogoń Siedlce FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lechia Gdansk vs Pogoń Siedlce?

Kickoff is 19:30 on 21 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lechia Gdansk vs Pogoń Siedlce?

Lechia Gdansk is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Lechia Gdansk vs Pogoń Siedlce prediction, H2H and stats