Leeds vs Burnley Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Leeds

LDWWD

Fri, 1 May 202620:00

3 : 1

Full time

Burnley

LLLLD

Pre-match win probability

69.8%Leeds19%Draw11.2%Burnley

Our prediction

Home · Leeds

Leeds vs Burnley listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence69.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leeds 69.8%
  • Draw 19%
  • Burnley 11.2%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

LeedsBurnley

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X73.5%
X226.5%

Match result

Leeds1.36
Draw5
Burnley8.5

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance73.5%
Odds1.08

X2

Chance26.5%
Odds3

Leeds

Chance69.8%
Odds1.36

Draw

Chance19%
Odds5

Burnley

Chance11.2%
Odds8.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.36

LeedsBurnley
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall86%14%

Leeds vs Burnley: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Fri, 1 May 2026

Leeds meet Burnley in the England, Premier League on 1 May 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leeds at 1.36. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 69.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leeds vs Burnley FAQs

4 questions

What time is Leeds vs Burnley?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 1 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Leeds vs Burnley?

Leeds is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.36. The margin-adjusted share is about 69.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Leeds vs Burnley prediction, H2H and stats