Get Premium

Leeds vs Manchester United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSun, 4 Jan 2026

Leeds

DDWDD

Sun, 4 Jan 202613:30

1 : 1

Full time

Manchester United

DWLDW

Pre-match win probability

34.1%Leeds30.2%Draw35.7%Manchester United

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Leeds

Leeds vs Manchester United listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence35.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leeds 34.1%
  • Draw 30.2%
  • Manchester United 35.7%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

LeedsManchester United

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.6% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Leeds2.75
Draw3.1
Manchester United2.62

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.44

Leeds

Chance34.1%
Odds2.75

Draw

Chance30.2%
Odds3.1

Manchester United

Chance35.7%
Odds2.62

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.44

LeedsManchester United
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall49%51%

Leeds vs Manchester United: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 4 Jan 2026

Leeds meet Manchester United in the England, Premier League on 4 January 2026 at 13:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester United at 2.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leeds vs Manchester United FAQs

4 questions

What time is Leeds vs Manchester United?

Kickoff is 13:30 on 4 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Leeds vs Manchester United?

Manchester United is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Leeds vs Manchester United prediction, H2H and stats