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Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueMon, 14 Sept 2026

Leeds

LDDWW

Mon, 14 Sept 202620:00

4 : 1

Full time

Newcastle

WDWWD

Pre-match win probability

41.1%Leeds26.3%Draw32.6%Newcastle

Our prediction

Draw · Leeds

Leeds vs Newcastle listed tip from the board.

Odds3.6
Confidence41.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leeds 41.1%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Newcastle 32.6%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

LeedsNewcastle

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X54.4%
X245.6%

Match result

Leeds2.3
Draw3.6
Newcastle2.9

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance54.4%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance45.6%
Odds1.62

Leeds

Chance41.1%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Newcastle

Chance32.6%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.6

LeedsNewcastle
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall56%44%

Leeds vs Newcastle: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Mon, 14 Sept 2026

Leeds meet Newcastle in the England, Premier League on 14 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leeds at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leeds vs Newcastle FAQs

4 questions

What time is Leeds vs Newcastle?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 14 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Leeds vs Newcastle?

Leeds is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Leeds vs Newcastle prediction, H2H and stats