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Leganes vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónSat, 21 Mar 2026

Leganes

LLDDL

Sat, 21 Mar 202614:00

5 : 2

Full time

AD Ceuta FC

LLWWW

Pre-match win probability

50.7%Leganes27.6%Draw21.7%AD Ceuta FC

Our prediction

Away · Leganes

Leganes vs AD Ceuta FC listed tip from the board.

Odds4.33
Confidence50.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leganes 50.7%
  • Draw 27.6%
  • AD Ceuta FC 21.7%

Season statistics

Segunda División · highlighted side is stronger

LeganesAD Ceuta FC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X61.4%
X238.6%

Match result

Leganes1.85
Draw3.4
AD Ceuta FC4.33

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance61.4%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance38.6%
Odds1.91

Leganes

Chance50.7%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance27.6%
Odds3.4

AD Ceuta FC

Chance21.7%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 4.33

LeganesAD Ceuta FC
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall70%30%

Leganes vs AD Ceuta FC: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División · Sat, 21 Mar 2026

Leganes meet AD Ceuta FC in the Spain, Segunda División on 21 March 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leganes at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leganes vs AD Ceuta FC FAQs

4 questions

What time is Leganes vs AD Ceuta FC?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 21 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Leganes vs AD Ceuta FC?

Leganes is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Leganes vs AD Ceuta FC prediction, H2H and stats