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Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Poland · EkstraklasaSun, 25 Oct 2026

Legia Warszawa

4th in table · 23 pts

WWWWD

Sun, 25 Oct 202617:30

1 : 2

Full time

Lech Poznan

1st in table · 28 pts

DWLWD

Pre-match win probability

37.6%Legia Warszawa27.1%Draw35.4%Lech Poznan

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Legia Warszawa

Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence37.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Legia Warszawa 37.6%
  • Draw 27.1%
  • Lech Poznan 35.4%

Season statistics

Ekstraklasa · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Legia WarszawaLech Poznan
Goals scored (avg)
2.22.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.8
Wins
69
Played
1211

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Legia Warszawa5W 3D 1L in last 9
  • 17 OctCracovia Krakow1 – 1Legia WarszawaD
  • 11 OctLegia Warszawa2 – 0Wisla KrakowW
  • 3 OctLegia Warszawa5 – 1Korona KielceW
  • 26 SeptZaglebie Sosnowiec2 – 4Legia WarszawaW
  • 20 SeptJagiellonia1 – 3Legia WarszawaW
Lech Poznan4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 22 OctLech Poznan1 – 1SunderlandD
  • 18 OctLech Poznan6 – 1Korona KielceW
  • 15 OctLech Poznan0 – 4Bayer LeverkusenL
  • 10 OctSlask Wroclaw1 – 4Lech PoznanW
  • 3 OctLech Poznan2 – 2Energie CottbusD
H2H
Head to headLegia Warszawa 2W · 4D · Lech Poznan 3W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 26 AprLech Poznan4 – 0Legia Warszawa
  • 26 OctLegia Warszawa0 – 0Lech Poznan
  • 13 JulLech Poznan1 – 2Legia Warszawa
  • 11 MayLegia Warszawa0 – 1Lech Poznan
  • 10 NovLech Poznan5 – 2Legia Warszawa
  • 12 MayLech Poznan1 – 2Legia Warszawa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.9% · 1.711.2% · 2.1
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Legia Warszawa2.45
Draw3.4
Lech Poznan2.6

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.5

Legia Warszawa

Chance37.6%
Odds2.45

Draw

Chance27.1%
Odds3.4

Lech Poznan

Chance35.4%
Odds2.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.5

Legia WarszawaLech Poznan
Recent form56%44%
Attack50%50%
Defence59%41%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall52%48%

Trends

Trend · Ekstraklasa

Legia Warszawa scored 2.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ekstraklasa

Legia Warszawa conceded 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ekstraklasa

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Ekstraklasa

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan: prediction & preview

Poland · Ekstraklasa · Sun, 25 Oct 2026

Legia Warszawa meet Lech Poznan in the Poland, Ekstraklasa on 25 October 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Legia Warszawa at 2.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan FAQs

4 questions

What time is Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 25 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan?

Legia Warszawa is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.