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Leicester vs Derby Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipMon, 29 Dec 2025

Leicester

LLWDW

Mon, 29 Dec 202520:45

2 : 1

Half time

Derby

DDWDL

Pre-match win probability

44.5%Leicester28.8%Draw26.7%Derby

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Leicester

Leicester vs Derby listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence44.5%
ResultLive
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leicester 44.5%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Derby 26.7%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

LeicesterDerby

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
1.5 goals17% · 1.47.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.3% · 2.314.7% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.5% · 4.3319.5% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X57%
X243%

Match result

Leicester2.1
Draw3.25
Derby3.5

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance57%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43%
Odds1.7

Leicester

Chance44.5%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.25

Derby

Chance26.7%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.28

LeicesterDerby
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall63%37%

Leicester vs Derby: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Mon, 29 Dec 2025

Leicester meet Derby in the England, Championship on 29 December 2025 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leicester at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leicester vs Derby FAQs

4 questions

What time is Leicester vs Derby?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 29 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Leicester vs Derby?

Leicester is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.3 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Leicester vs Derby prediction, H2H and stats