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Leixoes vs Tondela Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSun, 16 Aug 2026

Leixoes

Sun, 16 Aug 202615:30

1 : 0

Full time

Tondela

Pre-match win probability

37.2%Leixoes28.8%Draw34.1%Tondela

Our prediction

Leixoes

Leixoes is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.4
Confidence37.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leixoes 37.2%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Tondela 34.1%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

LeixoesTondela

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X52.2%
X247.8%

Match result

Leixoes2.4
Draw3.1
Tondela2.62

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance52.2%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance47.8%
Odds1.53

Leixoes

Chance37.2%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.1

Tondela

Chance34.1%
Odds2.62

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Leixoes at 2.4

LeixoesTondela
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall52%48%

Leixoes vs Tondela: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

Leixoes meet Tondela in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 16 August 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leixoes at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leixoes vs Tondela FAQs

4 questions

What time is Leixoes vs Tondela?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Leixoes vs Tondela?

Leixoes is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Leixoes vs Tondela prediction, H2H and stats