Lens vs Toulouse Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Fri, 17 Apr 2026

Lens

LWLWD

Fri, 17 Apr 202619:45

3 : 2

Full time

Toulouse

LLWWL

Pre-match win probability

67.2%Lens20.1%Draw12.7%Toulouse

Our prediction

Draw · Lens

Lens vs Toulouse listed tip from the board.

Odds4.75
Confidence67.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lens 67.2%
  • Draw 20.1%
  • Toulouse 12.7%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · highlighted side is stronger

LensToulouse

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X70.1%
X229.9%

Match result

Lens1.42
Draw4.75
Toulouse7.5

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance70.1%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance29.9%
Odds2.62

Lens

Chance67.2%
Odds1.42

Draw

Chance20.1%
Odds4.75

Toulouse

Chance12.7%
Odds7.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 4.75

LensToulouse
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall84%16%

Lens vs Toulouse: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Fri, 17 Apr 2026

Lens meet Toulouse in the France, Ligue 1 on 17 April 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lens at 1.42. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 67.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lens vs Toulouse FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lens vs Toulouse?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 17 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lens vs Toulouse?

Lens is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.42. The margin-adjusted share is about 67.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Lens vs Toulouse prediction, H2H and stats