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Leon vs Toluca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSun, 25 Oct 2026

Leon

WLDWD

Sun, 25 Oct 202600:00

1 : 1

Full time

Toluca

DDLLD

Pre-match win probability

25.6%Leon24.9%Draw49.5%Toluca

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Leon

Leon vs Toluca listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence49.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leon 25.6%
  • Draw 24.9%
  • Toluca 49.5%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

LeonToluca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.6% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.4% · 1.539.8% · 2.4
3.5 goals10.5% · 2.2515% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X41.6%
X258.4%

Match result

Leon3.7
Draw3.8
Toluca1.91

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance41.6%
Odds1.8

X2

Chance58.4%
Odds1.28

Leon

Chance25.6%
Odds3.7

Draw

Chance24.9%
Odds3.8

Toluca

Chance49.5%
Odds1.91

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.8

LeonToluca
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall34%66%

Leon vs Toluca: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sun, 25 Oct 2026

Leon meet Toluca in the Mexico, Liga MX on 25 October 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leon vs Toluca FAQs

4 questions

What time is Leon vs Toluca?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 25 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Leon vs Toluca?

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Leon vs Toluca prediction, H2H and stats